COVID-19 Research

Publications and Working Papers

A Model of Endogenous Risk Intolerance and LSAPs: Asset Prices and Aggregate Demand in a "Covid-19" Shock
Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek

Comparison of Knowledge and Information-Seeking Behavior After General COVID-19 Public Health Messages and Messages Tailored for Black and Latinx Communities
Marcella Alsan, Fatima Cody Stanford, Abhijit Banerjee, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Sarah Eichmeyeter, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Lucy Ogbu-Nwobodo, Benjamin Olken, Carlos Torres, Anirudh Sankar, Pierre-Luc Vautrey, Esther Duflo

The Trade-off Between Prioritization and Vaccination Speeds Depends on Mitigation Measures
Nikhil Agarwal, Andrew Komo, Chetan Patel, Parag Pathak, M. Utku Unver

Demand Composition and the Strength of Recoveries
Martin Beraja, Christian K. Wolf

Racial Disparities In Excess All-Cause Mortality During The Early COVID-19 Pandemic Varied Substantially Across States
Maria Polyakova, Victoria Udalova, Geoffrey Kocks, Katie Genadek, Keith Finlay, Amy N. Finkelstein

The Association of Opening K-12 Schools and Colleges with the Spread of Covid-19 in the United States: County-Level Panel Data Analysis
Victor Chernozhukov, Hiroyuki Kasahara, and Paul Schrimpf

Fair Allocation of Vaccines, Ventilators and Antiviral Treatments: Leaving No Ethical Value Behind in Health Care Rationing
Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Ünver, M. Bumin Yenmez

An Economist's Guide to Epidemiology Models of Infectious Disease
Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison

Rationing Safe and Effective COVID-19 Vaccines: Allocating to States Proportionate to Population May Undermine Commitments to Mitigating Health Disparities
Harald Schmidt, Parag A. Pathak, Michelle A. Williams, Tayfun Sönmez, M Utku Ünver, Lawrence O. Gostin

Designing Efficient Contact Tracing Through Risk-Based Quarantining
Andrew Perrault, Marie Charpignon, Jonathan Gruber, Milind Tambe, and Maimuna Majumder

What Prioritizing Worse-Off Minority Groups for COVID-19 Vaccines Means Quantitatively: Practical, Legal and Ethical Implications
Harald Schmidt, Parag Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M Utku Ünver

Covid-19: how to prioritize worse-off populations in allocating safe and effective vaccines
Harald Schmidt, Parag Pathak, Tayfun Sonmez, and M. Utku Unver

Initial economic damage from the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States is more widespread across ages and geographies than initial mortality impacts
Maria Polyakova, Geoffrey Kocks, Victoria Udalova, and Amy Finkelstein

Effects of a Universal Basic Income during the pandemic
Abhijit Banerjee, Michael Faye, Alan Krueger, Paul Niehaus, Tavneet Suri

Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect
Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek

An Evaluation of the Paycheck Protection Program Using Administrative Payroll Microdata
David Autor, David Cho, Leland D. Crane, Mita Goldar, Byron Lutz, Joshua Montes, Wiliam B. Peterman, David Ratner, Daniel Villar, Ahu Yildirmaz

Causal Impact of Masks, Policies, Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S.
Victor Chernozhukov, Hiroyuko Kasahara, Paul Schrimpf

Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients, With Similar Effects on Non-Recipient Members of Their Communities
Abhijit Banerjee, Marcella Alsan, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Abhijit Chowdhury, Esther Duflo, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Benjamin A. Olken

Natural Disasters and Elective Medical Services: How Big is the Bounce-Back?
Tatyana Deryugina, Jonathan Gruber, Adrienne Sabety

Policy Essay: Will Competition Be Another COVID-19 Casualty?
Nancy L. Rose

The Nature of Work after the COVID Crisis: Too Few Low-Wage Jobs
David Autor and Elisabeth Reynolds

Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-Based Exit Paths from Lockdown
Anup Malani, Satej Soman, Sam Asher, Paul Novosad, Clement Imbert, Vaidehi Tandel, Anish Agarwal, Abdullah Alomar, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Dennis Shen, Jonathan Gruber, Stuti Sachdeva, David Kaiser, Luis M.A. Bettencourt

Insights From Optimal Pandemic Shielding in a Multi-Group SEIR Framework
Philipp Bach, Victor Chernozhukov, Martin Spindler

Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing and the Spread of an Infection
Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian, Asuman Ozdaglar

Implications of Heterogeneous SIR Models for Analyses of COVID-19
Glenn Ellison

Paying for Medicaid- State Budgets and the Case for Expansion in the Time of Coronavirus
Jonathan Gruber and Benjamin D. Sommers

Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For
Jeffrey E. Harris

Doubts about Density: Covid-19 across Cities and Towns
William C. Wheaton, Anne Kinsella Thompson

Policy implications of models of the spread of coronavirus: Perspectives and opportunities for economists
Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, Sara Fisher Ellison

Paying It Backward and Forward: Expanding Access to Convalescent Plasma Therapy Through Market Design
Scott Duke Kominers, Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Ünver

A Multi-Risk SIR Model with Optimally Targeted Lockdown | Online MR-SIR Simulator
Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Werning, Michael D. Whinston

The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris

The Geography of COVID-19 growth in the US: Counties and Metropolitan Areas
William C. Wheaton, Anne Kinsella Thompson

Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?
Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub, and Ivan Werning

The Coronavirus Epidemic Curve is Already Flattening in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris

Celebrities and Public Health Campaigns: A Nationwide Twitter Experiment Promoting Vaccination in Indonesia
Vivi Alatas, Arun Chandrasekhar, Markus Mobius, Benjamin Olken, and Cindy Paladines