Publications & Papers

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Macroeconomics

Rents, Technical Change, and Risk Premia: Accounting for Secular Trends in Interest Rates, Returns on Capital, Earnings Yields, and Factor Shares

American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings
Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
May 2017
Labor Economics, Macroeconomics

Secular Stagnation? The Effect of Aging on Economic Growth in the Age of Automation

American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings, 107(5), pp. 174-79
Daron Acemoglu, Pascual Restrepo
May 2017

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Development Economics

Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effects

Victor Chernozhukov, Denis Chetverikov, Mert Demirer, Esther Duflo, Christian Hansen, and Whitney Newey
May 2017
AER
Econometrics, Labor Economics

Regression Discontinuity in Serial Dictatorship: Achievement Effects at Chicago’s Exam Schools

American Economic Review, 107(5): 240-245
Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua D. Angrist, Yusuke Narita and Parag A. Pathak
May 2017
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Economic Theory, Political Economy

Social Norms and the Enforcement of Laws

Journal of the European Economic Association, 15(2), pp. 245-295
Daron Acemoglu, Matthew O. Jackson
April 2017
Economic Theory

Bayesian Posteriors For Arbitrarily Rare Events

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Drew Fudenberg, Kevin He, and Lorens A. Imhof
April 2017
Behavioral Economics, Health Economics, Labor Economics, Public Economics

Federal Funding Insulated State Budgets from Increased Spending Related to Medicaid Expansion

Health Affairs, 36, 1666
Jonathan Gruber, Benjamin D. Sommers
April 2017
Behavioral Economics, Health Economics, Labor Economics, Public Economics

Premium Subsidies the Mandate and Medicaid Expansion: Coverage Effects of the Affordable Care Act

Journal of Health Economics, 53, 72-86
Molly Frean, Jonathan Gruber, Benjamin D. Sommers
March 2017
Behavioral Economics, Health Economics, Labor Economics, Public Economics

It’s Good to be First: Order Bias in Reading and Citing NBER Working Papers

Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(1), 32-39
Dan Feenberg, Ina Ganguli, Patrick Gaule, Jonathan Gruber
March 2017
Econometrics

Measuring the Sensitivity of Parameter Estimates to Estimation Moments

Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2017;132 (4) :1553-1592.
Isaiah Andrews, Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro
March 2017
Journal of Economic Theory
Behavioral Economics, Economic Theory

Interdependent Preferences and Strategic Distinguishability

Journal of Economic Theory 168, 329-371
Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris and Satoru Takahashi
March 2017
Behavioral Economics, Health Economics, Labor Economics, Public Economics

Early Impact of CareFirst’s Patient-Centered Medical Home with Strong Financial Incentives

Health Affairs, 36(3), 468-475
Christopher Afendulis, Jonathan Gruber, Laura Hatfield, Bruce Landon, Mary Beth Landrum, Robert Mechanic, Darren Zinner and Michael Chernew
March 2017
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Econometrics, Labor Economics

Undergraduate Econometrics Instruction: Through Our Classes, Darkly

Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(2), 125–144
Joshua D. Angrist, Jörn-Steffen Pischke
March 2017
Public Economics, Financial Economics

The Asset Cost of Poor Health

Journal of the Economics of Aging 9 (2017): 172-184
James Poterba, Steven Venti, David A. Wise
February 2017
Health Economics, Public Economics

Bunching at the kink: implications for spending responses to health insurance contracts

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Paul Schrimpf
February 2017
Macroeconomics

The Taxation of Superstars

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 132(1), 211-270
Florian Scheuer, Iván Werning
February 2017
Health Economics, Public Economics

Adjusting Risk Adjustment - Accounting for Variation in Diagnostic Intensity

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, Peter Hull and Heidi Williams
February 2017