Publications & Papers

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Macroeconomics

Speculative Growth and the AI “Bubble”

Ricardo J. Caballero
August 2026

Forward Guidance and Financial Conditions

Ricardo J. Caballero. Alp Simsek
August 2026
Macroeconomics

The Safe-Debt Laffer Curve

Ricardo J. Caballero
August 2026

Sources

Supplemental Appendix for "A Deep Case for Shallow Integration"
International Economics

A Deep Case for Shallow Integration

John Sturm Becko and Arnaud Costinot
August 2026

LLM Advisor

A skill to help LLMs give feedback on economics research.
Isaiah Andrews
August 2026
Political Economy

Where the Grass Seems Greener: Economic Misperceptions and Support for Democracy

Daron Acemoglu, Nicolas Ajzenman, Guillermo Cruces, Martin Fiszbein, Gaston Garcıa Zavaleta, Carlos Molina

August 2026
Econometrics

Estimation and exclusion restrictions in clustered linear models

Anna Mikusheva, Mikkel Sølvsten and Baiyun Jing
August 2026
Development Economics

The Limits of Government Outsourcing: Property Tax Re-Assessments in India

Esther Duflo, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, and Shreya Tandon∗
August 2026
Econometrica

Sources

Supplement Code and Replication Files
Econometrics

Double Robustness of Local Projections and Some Unpleasant VARithmetic

Econometrica
José Luis Montiel Olea, Mikkel Plagborg-Møller, Eric Qian, Christian Wolf
July 2026

Timing lumpy investments with bridge loans and clunky formal loans: Evidence from Thailand

Jain, Anil, Robert M. Townsend and Fan Wang
July 2026
International Economics

Should We Tax Trade? A Pigouvian Perspective

Arnaud Costinot and Ivan Werning
July 2026
Review of Economic Studies

Sources

NBER Working Paper 29993
Econometrics, Health Economics, Industrial Organization, Market Design

Demand Analysis Under Latent Choice Constraints

Review of Economic Studies
Nikhil Agarwal, Paulo Somaini
July 2026
Labor Economics

Baby Busts and Growth Booms: Demographic Change and the Macroeconomy

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Keelan Beirne, and Andrew Scott
June 2026
Labor Economics

Automation and Repression

Daron Acemoglu, A. Arda Gitmez, Mehdi Shadmehr
June 2026

Public Ownership and Anti-Preemption

Forthcoming in RAND Journal of Economics
Juliano Assuncao, Sergey Mityakov, Robert M. Townsend
May 2026
Labor Economics

Employment and Community: Socioeconomic Cooperation and Its Breakdown

Daron Acemoglu and Alexander Wolitzky
May 2026
Development Economics

Scaling cognitive science with classroom games for learning mathematics

Joshua T. Dean, Moira R. Dillon, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Elizabeth S. Spelke
May 2026
Political Economy

AI, Human Cognition and Knowledge Collapse

Daron Acemoglu, Dingwen Kong, and Asuman Ozdaglar
May 2026