Publications & Papers

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Development Economics

The Limits of Government Outsourcing: Property Tax Re-Assessments in India

Esther Duflo, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, and Shreya Tandon∗
August 2026
Macroeconomics

Speculative Growth and the AI “Bubble”

Ricardo J. Caballero
July 2026
Econometrics, Health Economics, Industrial Organization, Market Design

Demand Analysis Under Latent Choice Constraints

Review of Economic Studies
Nikhil Agarwal, Paulo Somaini
July 2026
Econometrics

Double Robustness of Local Projections and Some Unpleasant VARithmetic

Econometrica
José Luis Montiel Olea, Mikkel Plagborg-Møller, Eric Qian, Christian Wolf
July 2026
International Economics

Should We Tax Trade? A Pigouvian Perspective

Arnaud Costinot and Ivan Werning
July 2026
Labor Economics

Baby Busts and Growth Booms: Demographic Change and the Macroeconomy

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Keelan Beirne, and Andrew Scott
June 2026
Macroeconomics

The Safe-Debt Laffer Curve

Ricardo J. Caballero
June 2026
Labor Economics

Automation and Repression

Daron Acemoglu, A. Arda Gitmez, Mehdi Shadmehr
June 2026

Public Ownership and Anti-Preemption

Forthcoming in RAND Journal of Economics
Juliano Assuncao, Sergey Mityakov, Robert M. Townsend
May 2026
Labor Economics

Employment and Community: Socioeconomic Cooperation and Its Breakdown

Daron Acemoglu and Alexander Wolitzky
May 2026
Development Economics

Scaling cognitive science with classroom games for learning mathematics

Joshua T. Dean, Moira R. Dillon, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Elizabeth S. Spelke
May 2026
Political Economy

AI, Human Cognition and Knowledge Collapse

Daron Acemoglu, Dingwen Kong, and Asuman Ozdaglar
May 2026

A Note for PhD Students About AI

Isaiah Andrews
April 2026

Digital Safety Nets

BIS WP No. 139
Karaivanov, Alexander, Benoit Mojon, Luiz Pereira da Silva and Robert M Townsend
April 2026
Macroeconomics

FCI-plot: Central Bank Communication Through Financial Conditions

Ricardo J. Caballero, Alp Simsek
March 2026
Economic Theory, Political Economy

How AI Aggregation Affects Knowledge

Daron Acemoglu, Tianyi Lin, Asuman Ozdaglar, James Siderius
March 2026
Labor Economics

What Makes New Work Different from More Work?

forthcoming, Annual Review of Economics
David Autor, Caroline Chin, Anna Salomons, and Bryan Seegmiller
March 2026