Publications & Papers

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Econometrica

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Online Supplement
International Economics, Political Economy

Why is Trade Not Free? A Revealed Preference Approach

Econometrica, forthcoming
Rodrigo Adão, John Sturm Becko, Arnaud Costinot, and Dave Donaldson
Development Economics, Political Economy, Public Economics

Messages on COVID-19 prevention in India increased symptoms reporting and adherence to preventive behaviors among 25 million recipients with similar effects on non-recipient members of their communities

Econometrics, Macroeconomics

Evaluating Monetary Policy Counterfactuals: When Do We Need Structural Models?

Tomás Caravello, Alisdair McKay, Christian Wolf

Sources

Supplement
Econometrics, Macroeconomics

Local Projections or VARs? A Primer for Macroeconomists

José Luis Montiel Olea, Mikkel Plagborg-Møller, Eric Qian, Christian Wolf
Econometrics

Certified Decisions

Isaiah Andrews and Jiafeng Chen
Econometrics

A Bayesian Critic for Frequentist Procedures

Isaiah Andrews, Simon Essig Aberg, and Jesse M. Shapiro
Behavioral Economics, Labor Economics, Macroeconomics, Public Economics

Behavioral Economics

Forthcoming in the Journal of Public Economics
Peter Diamond
Labor Economics, Macroeconomics, Public Economics

Discussion of Orszag-Stiglitz paper for World Bank conference: New Ideas About Old Age Security - The Transparency Myth

Peter Diamond

Sources

February 2026 talk
Financial Economics

Do Markets Believe in Transformative AI?

Isaiah Andrews and Maryam Farboodi
Econometrics

The Purpose of an Estimator is What it Does

Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Thirteenth World Congress
Isaiah Andrews, Jiafeng Chen, and Otavio Tecchio
Macroeconomics

Optimal Policy Rules in HANK

Forthcoming, The Review of Economic Studies
Alisdair McKay, Christian Wolf
Econometrics

GMM is Inadmissible Under Bounded Identification Strength

Isaiah Andrews, Anna Mikusheva
International Economics

What Goods Do Countries Trade? A Structural Ricardian Model

Arnaud Costinot, I. Komunjer

Bricks-clicks III

Bricks or Clicks? The Efficiency of Alternative Retail Channels.
Development Economics, Environmental Economics, International Economics

Can Transportation Networks Facilitate Adaptation to Environmental Extremes?

Dave Donaldson, Panle Jia Barwick, Shanjun Li, Yatang Lin, Deyu Rao

Sources

Appendix
Development Economics, Political Economy, Public Economics

The Origins and Control of Forest Fires in the Tropics

Error Correction Models of MSA Housing Supply Elasticities

(MIT, Department of Economics) December 30, 2014
Economic Theory

Revealed Rationality: Label-Free Evaluation and Regularization from Representation Theorems

Isaiah Andrews