Working Papers

Working Papers

Econometrics

Communicating Scientific Uncertainty via Approximate Posteriors

Econometrica, Conditionally Accepted
Isaiah Andrews, Jesse M. Shapiro
Econometrics

The Purpose of an Estimator is What it Does

Isaiah Andrews, Jiafeng Chen, and Otavio Tecchio
Financial Economics

Do Markets Believe in Transformative AI?

Isaiah Andrews and Maryam Farboodi
July 2025
Econometrics

Certified Decisions

Isaiah Andrews and Jiafeng Chen
Econometrics

True and Pseudo-True Parameters

Isaiah Andrews, Harvey Barnhard, Jacob Carlson
Econometrics

Optimal Conditional Inference in Adaptive Experiments

Jiafeng Chen, Isaiah Andrews
Econometrics

GMM is Inadmissible Under Bounded Identification Strength

Isaiah Andrews, Anna Mikusheva
Econometrics

The Transfer Performance of Economic Models

Isaiah Andrews, Drew Fudenberg, Lihua Lei, Annie Liang, Chaofeng Wu

Inactive Working Papers

Econometrics

Optimal Social Insurance with Heterogeneity

Isaiah Andrews, Conrad Miller
June 2013
Econometrics

A Mean Likelihood Ratio Specification Test

Isaiah Andrews
December 2012