Working Papers

 
From Next-Token Prediction to Automata Induction (with Janani Sekar).
The Measurement Revolution? Credible Measurement and Inference in the Age of AI (with Melissa Dell). In Preparation for The Annual Review of Economics; accompanying the 2026 NBER Methods Lecture. [ Draft ]
Human Decisions and Machine Predictions in Multistage Systems (with Jason Baron, Will Dobbie, Richard Lombardo and Joseph Ryan). [ Draft ]
Program Evaluation with Remotely Sensed Outcomes (with Rahul Singh and Davide Viviano). [ Draft
When do Common Time Series Estimands have Nonparametric Causal Meaning? (with Neil Shephard). [ Draft ] Revisions requested, The Review of Economic Studies.
An Economic Approach to Regulating Algorithms (with Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan). [ Draft ]